Last-minute NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Why we're backing multiple road teams

Last-minute NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Why we're backing multiple road teams

Week 11 of the NFL season promises to be one of the most exciting and compelling slates of games this year. With a variety of intriguing matchups, including several divisional showdowns, fans and bettors alike have plenty to look forward to. From high-stakes rivalries to a rare international game, the action is set to deliver drama and intense competition across the board.

One of the most notable features of Week 11 is the sheer number of divisional games taking place on Sunday. There are seven such matchups, underscoring the importance of this week in shaping playoff positioning and divisional supremacy. Among these, the heavyweight clash between the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks stands out as a marquee event. Both teams are tied atop the NFC West with identical 7-2 records, making this game feel like a potential preview of the NFC Championship. The rivalry between these two teams adds an extra layer of intensity, and with both boasting strong defenses and quarterbacks playing at high levels, this matchup is guaranteed to be a closely contested battle.

Seattle, coming off a strong run this season, has proven that they are unflappable on the road. They have an undefeated road record both straight up and against the spread this year, and their balanced play on offense and defense makes them formidable opponents. Their points per game differential in the first three quarters is the best since the 2007 New England Patriots, a testament to their ability to start games strong. On the other side, the Rams are led by Matthew Stafford, who has been playing at an MVP level, while Sam Darnold has also been a key contributor for Seattle. Ultimately, the prediction favors the Seahawks to pull off an upset victory at SoFi Stadium, with a projected score of 24-21.

Another big game on Sunday features the Buffalo Bills hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Buffalo is coming off a tough loss to the Miami Dolphins, which has only widened the gap in the AFC East standings. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers remain at the top of the NFC South despite missing several key offensive players. This game is expected to be a hard-fought contest, with Buffalo likely to throw everything they have at Tampa Bay in an effort to regain momentum. However, the Buccaneers have the potential to keep the game close, especially if running back Bucky Irving returns to action. The Bills have struggled against the run this season, giving up 5.5 yards per carry, so a strong ground game could be Tampa Bay’s key to staying competitive. Given Baker Mayfield’s strong record as an underdog since joining the Bucs, the prediction is that Tampa Bay will cover the spread, even if Buffalo wins narrowly (27-23).

Adding an international twist to the weekend’s action is the Commanders versus Dolphins game, which will be the final international game of the regular season, taking place in Madrid, Spain. The Dolphins are riding high after their upset victory over the Bills, but their overall performance this season has been unimpressive, and there are concerns about whether they can maintain their intensity on the road and internationally. The Commanders, despite missing key players such as Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin, are expected to be competitive behind backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. Washington’s defense has been vulnerable, allowing nearly 26 points per game, but with new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn taking over play-calling duties, there is hope for improvement. The prediction here is a narrow win for the Commanders, 24-21, as Miami’s recent trend of struggling after a win may continue.

One of the most intriguing prime-time games on Sunday night features the Detroit Lions traveling to face the Philadelphia Eagles in Philadelphia. The Eagles have been a puzzle this season — they currently lead the NFC and hold a 7-2 record, but their offense has been inconsistent and somewhat clunky. Saquon Barkley, who has been less effective than last year, will face a tough Lions run defense. Defensively, the Eagles have shown the ability to shut teams down, but questions remain about whether recent additions such as pass rusher Jaelan Phillips will be enough to stifle Detroit’s dynamic offense, which includes playmakers like Jahmyr Gibbs. Historically, the Lions have performed well in prime-time games, boasting a 13-2 straight-up record over the past four seasons. Given their strong performance as underdogs and their skill position talent, the prediction is that Detroit will edge out a 27

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