2026 March Madness predictions: NCAA bracket expert picks, odds for second round games on Sunday

2026 March Madness predictions: NCAA bracket expert picks, odds for second round games on Sunday

The NCAA Tournament has now reached one of its most critical junctures: the Second Round games on Sunday. These eight matchups will determine which teams earn the coveted spots in the Sweet 16, extending their seasons into the following week. Held across four different sites representing each region of the tournament bracket, these games often deliver some of the most intense and memorable moments of March Madness, where every possession and coaching decision can make or break a team’s journey.

This year’s Sunday slate is packed with compelling contests featuring a blend of legendary coaches and emerging stars. One of the most anticipated showdowns is between Bill Self’s Kansas and Rick Pitino’s St. John’s in the East Region, taking place in San Diego. While this marquee matchup draws much attention, other coaching duels also stand out, such as Dan Hurley’s UConn facing off against Mick Cronin’s UCLA, Nate Oats’ Alabama clashing with Grant McCasland’s Texas Tech, and several more. These battles are not just about player talent but also the strategic chess matches between some of college basketball’s most respected minds.

Unlike some previous tournaments where upsets and Cinderella stories have dominated early rounds, Friday’s games mostly saw favorites advance, which sets the stage for high-quality contests. The absence of major surprises means that Sunday’s teams have largely proven themselves as top-tier programs, often ranked within the top 30 or 40 nationally. For many of these squads, reaching the Sweet 16 is not just a goal but an expectation; however, only half will survive this round, underscoring the tournament’s unforgiving nature.

Let’s break down the key Second Round games scheduled for Sunday, highlighting some top picks and insights for each contest.

**Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers (12:10 p.m. on CBS)** The Hurricanes face a tough challenge with a quick turnaround after their late-night first-round victory against Missouri, which wrapped up just after midnight on the East Coast. In contrast, Purdue had a relatively easy first-round game against Queens, allowing its starters to rest, with star guard Braden Smith playing heavy minutes but the rest of the team largely preserved. Despite the rest advantage, the matchup’s style dynamics lean toward Miami. The Hurricanes play a physical, downhill style emphasizing rebounding, led by floor general Tre Donaldson, who posted an impressive stat line in the opening round. Purdue’s size and shooting prowess are notable, but Miami’s defensive tenacity and offensive rebounding could limit Purdue’s efficiency. Given Miami’s style and momentum, they are an attractive pick with the +7.5 point spread.

**Kansas Jayhawks vs. St. John’s Red Storm (5:15 p.m. on CBS)** Kansas showed flashes of dominance in their first game, building a substantial lead before allowing a late surge by Cal Baptist. While Darryn Peterson’s standout performance helped secure the win, questions remain about Kansas’ consistency against tougher competition. On the other hand, St. John’s enters with tremendous confidence, having won 20 of their last 21 games, including a commanding 26-point victory over Northern Iowa. The coaching matchup between Bill Self and Hall of Famer Rick Pitino adds an extra layer of intrigue. Strategically, Kansas’ interior defense will be tested, possibly forcing St. John’s into perimeter shooting, an area where they are less comfortable. While St. John’s is favored to win outright, a slower-paced, physical game may keep the scoring low, making the under 67.5 points in the first half a smart play.

**Florida Gators vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (7:10 p.m. on TBS)** Florida, under Todd Golden, continues to gain valuable NCAA Tournament experience. They handled their first-round opponent, Prairie View, comfortably at home in Tampa as a heavy favorite. Iowa, meanwhile, struggled against top competition this season, with a poor 4-9 record against high-quality Quad 1 teams. Despite an impressive backcourt duo of Ben McCollum and Bennett Stirtz, Iowa faces a daunting challenge against Florida’s size and athleticism. The Gators boast a versatile frontcourt capable of disrupting passing lanes and limiting Stirtz’s effectiveness. Although Florida’s shooting isn’t elite, their defensive prowess and physicality give them a clear edge. With Florida appearing more focused since the tournament began, they are expected to win by double digits, making the -11.5

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