NBA rookie rankings: 10 players to watch ahead of the playoffs

NBA rookie rankings: 10 players to watch ahead of the playoffs

As the NBA regular season approaches its conclusion, much of the league's focus has turned toward tanking strategies in anticipation of the highly anticipated 2026 draft class. This forward-looking mindset is understandable, especially when considering the impact that a single promising rookie can have on a team's long-term trajectory. Reflecting on the current rookie crop offers valuable insights, particularly as the first four picks of the 2025 draft have emerged as the season's standout newcomers.

Throughout the season, Zach Kram has examined and ranked the top-performing rookies multiple times, with notable updates in November and January. It's important to note that these rankings assess the quality of each rookie's current season play rather than projecting future potential. Recently, some players have shifted positions within these rankings, reflecting their evolving contributions and challenges faced during the campaign.

One notable change is Tre Johnson, who was ranked eighth in January but has since dropped out of the top 10 in the most recent evaluation. Conversely, Maxime Raynaud, the Sacramento Kings' center, who has been performing impressively since the All-Star break, narrowly made the cut into the top 10 this time.

Starting with the players ranked toward the bottom of the top 10, the tenth spot belongs to a rookie whose season was unfortunately cut short by injury. This player, drafted eighth overall last year, showed flashes of talent on a rebuilding Brooklyn team before plantar fasciitis sidelined him on February 27. One of the biggest questions surrounding his transition from college to the NBA was his shooting, as he had a low three-point percentage (27%) during his collegiate career at BYU.

However, in the NBA, he has significantly improved, hitting 38.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc, with an average of over six three-point shots per game. This achievement places him among an elite group of rookies who have converted at least 38% of their threes on five or more attempts per game, including players like Kon Knueppel and Tyrese Haliburton. Aside from his shooting, he has demonstrated advanced passing abilities and, at 6-foot-8, possesses the size to hold his own defensively.

The key question for his future will be whether he can expand his offensive game beyond three-point shooting, given that his two-point shooting percentage stands at 39.9%. His development will be a crucial factor in how he fits into the Nets' rebuilding plans.

At number seven is a rookie who began the season with an exceptional defensive presence, particularly in shot-blocking, averaging 2.6 blocks per game in his first nine contests. However, his numbers have since declined to about 1.3 blocks per game. The Charlotte Hornets have also found more success with Moussa Diabate at center, who provides greater mobility than this player's bigger, slower frame. Despite this, the second-round pick has surpassed expectations with a highly efficient scoring rate, boasting a 75% true shooting percentage that would lead the league if he qualified. While his rim protection has lessened in volume, it remains a positive aspect of his game.

Another rookie who does not appear high on traditional stat sheets but has made a significant impact is a Celtics player who averages modest numbers in points, rebounds, and assists. However, his advanced metrics reveal a remarkable contribution: the Celtics have a plus-12.6 net rating when he is on the court, the best on one of the NBA's strongest teams and ranking fourth among all players with at least 50 games. While some of this rating is due to Boston's overall strength and shooting luck, having played over 1,000 minutes gives substantial weight to his positive impact. His energy and defensive skills generate winning plays, making him a strong candidate for the All-Rookie team despite not having the highest long-term ceiling.

A Pelicans rookie, who was ranked fourth in January, has seen a downturn in performance, particularly after the All-Star break. Before the break, he averaged solid numbers with 12.2 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 4.1 assists in 26 minutes per game, but these have dropped to 8.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.5 assists in 20 minutes since. The Pelicans' interim coach has increasingly favored veteran players, correlating with the team's best stretches of the season.

Although this rookie and fellow lottery pick Jeremiah Fears have struggled with on/off court ratings, he remains a strong playmaker with moments of standout offense. There are questions about his fit alongside Zion Williamson, given the team's negative net rating when both are on the floor. Nevertheless, his potential remains promising, making him a likely member of the All-Rookie second team.

Rising a few spots from his previous rank is a rookie who recently returned from a thumb injury that kept him sidelined for nearly a month. Despite limited time on the court, he has established himself as a high-floor player within a group of rookies who could be ranked interchangeably. His size and defensive versatility suggest that even if his offensive game does not fully develop, he should remain a reliable rotation player in the NBA. His current offensive limitations, including a low number of three-pointers and unassisted shots, may cap his ceiling, but his contributions to a contending team and ability to play small-ball center as a rookie bode well for his future.

Another rookie, who once appeared in contention for a top-three Rookie of the Year finish, has settled into a solid, if not spectacular, debut season. Averaging 13.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.8 assists in 26 minutes, he deserves recognition on the All-Rookie first team. Characterized as a 3-and-D wing, he possesses the size to be a capable defender and displays a shooting form that suggests his current 33.6% three-point percentage could improve, especially given his strong free-throw shooting at 85%.

A San Antonio rookie experienced a midseason dip in performance but has since rebounded, moving up in the rankings thanks to improved production and increased playing time. He even earned his first NBA start recently. His three-point shooting has improved from a concerning 23.7% to 31.4%, with an impressive 43.3% conversion rate since late January, albeit on a low volume of attempts. Despite shooting inconsistencies, his backcourt partnership with former Rookie of the Year Stephon Castle has been highly effective, with lineups including both players and Victor Wembanyama posting a remarkable plus-34.5 net rating. His recent surge nearly pushed him into the top three of the rankings, though a peer with a stronger full-season record holds that spot.

In third place is a rookie who has shown durability and versatility, playing 35 minutes per game - a workload only matched by Scottie Barnes among rookies in the past decade. This extensive playing time underscores his value and potential as a future All-Star. Beyond stamina, he has demonstrated a credible jump shot, playmaking ability, and defensive contributions, averaging 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks per game. His skills suggest he will form a formidable backcourt duo with Tyrese Maxey for years to come.

The runner-up in these rankings is a rookie with a statistical profile that places him in elite company. Averaging 20.3 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game, he joins a small group of NBA rookies who have posted similar numbers, including legends like Luka Doncic, Michael Jordan, and Larry Bird. At just 19 years old, he stands alongside Doncic as the only teenagers to achieve this feat. His defensive potential further enhances his value. Despite his outstanding season, he ranks second behind a former Duke teammate who has outperformed him this year. Nevertheless, this Dallas player remains a franchise cornerstone and would still be the top pick in a hypothetical redraft of the 2025 class.

At the top of the rookie rankings is a player who has been nothing short of exceptional. Using ESPN's net points metric, this rookie has contributed 153 points above average on offense alone - a figure that dwarfs all other rookies, the next highest being only 18 points above average. His impact extends beyond rookie comparisons: he ranks 11th in the entire NBA for offensive net points, positioned between established stars Anthony Edwards and Jalen Brunson on one side, and Cade Cunningham and Tyrese Maxey on the other. This statistical dominance cements his status as one of the league's best players this season.

He leads the NBA in total three-point field goals made and ranks third among qualified perimeter players in true shooting percentage, trailing only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Sam Merrill. His contributions have been instrumental in his team's surprising success this season. Given these achievements, he is the clear favorite to win the Rookie of the Year award, and the competition with the second-ranked rookie should not be close.

In summary, the 2025 NBA rookie class has delivered a range of performances that have been closely monitored and evaluated throughout the season. From injury-shortened campaigns to breakout stars, these players have showcased their skills and hinted at their future potential. While several have encountered challenges, others have thrived and already made significant impacts on their teams. As the season winds down, the spotlight shines brightest on Kon Knueppel, whose outstanding offensive production and efficiency place him at the pinnacle of this talented group. His performance not only exemplifies the promise of this rookie class but also offers a glimpse into the future stars of the NBA.

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