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Trump's trade war is giving renewed importance to advertising Upfronts

Trump's trade war is giving renewed importance to advertising Upfronts

The media industry is currently navigating a complex economic landscape as it embarks on its annual pitch to advertisers, known as the Upfronts. This traditional event sees major media companies like Comcast’s NBCUniversal, Fox Corp., and Warner Bros. Discovery, among others, presenting their upcoming programming to potential advertisers in hopes of securing advertising commitments. In recent years, the competition has intensified with streaming giants like Netflix and Amazon’s Prime Video also holding their own Upfront events. This marks a significant shift in the industry dynamics, as these newer platforms vie for a share of the advertising pie traditionally dominated by legacy media companies. This year, the stakes at the Upfronts are particularly high. Chief marketing officers across various brands are crafting contingency plans to address potential economic disruptions from factors such as tariffs, inflation, and shifts in consumer sentiment. These macroeconomic uncertainties have added to existing challenges for the media industry. A significant number of traditional pay-TV subscribers are switching to streaming services. Although some streaming platforms have reached profitability, they have yet to match the lucrative returns historically provided by traditional TV bundles. Additionally, digital and social media platforms continue to capture a substantial portion of advertising budgets, further intensifying competition. The media industry is also still feeling the effects of disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and strikes in Hollywood. Last year saw some stabilization in the advertising market, with expectations for a return to normalcy by 2025. However, media companies are now bracing for another year of uncertainty, prompting executives to refine their strategies and pitches. John Halley, Paramount's ad sales chief, emphasized the importance of the media's role in navigating this uncertain environment. He noted the unique advantages that media companies offer, such as reach, brand safety, and impact, which are crucial selling points in a volatile market. To demonstrate the continued importance of advertising, executives from legacy media companies are emphasizing the reliability of their content and viewership metrics. They have not observed a significant reduction in advertising spending despite concerns over economic conditions. Live sports remain a top priority in the conversations during Upfronts. Events such as awards shows and popular television series like Warner Bros. Discovery’s "The White Lotus," which has maintained steady viewership, continue to attract advertisers. Gina Reduto, Executive Vice President of Ad Strategy at NBCUniversal, highlighted the enduring appeal of live television, especially sports, in drawing audiences. Despite the challenges, media executives are confident that advertising remains a vital component for brands. Rita Ferro, Disney’s President of Global Advertising, stressed that companies recognize the need to continue selling products and services to consumers, even in uncertain times. She highlighted the importance of understanding the economic parameters affecting pricing and advertising strategies. While there are concerns about the potential impact of trade policies, such as tariffs introduced during President Donald Trump's administration, media executives report that these have yet to significantly impact advertising spending. However, the decline of the traditional linear TV bundle has affected financial results for media companies. Warner Bros. Discovery's advertising sales leaders, Ryan Gould and Bobby Voltaggio, noted that they haven’t seen any substantial cuts in advertising volume, although the future impact remains uncertain. Fox’s President of Ad Sales, Jeff Collins, observed that clients are preparing for various scenarios but have learned not to overreact to uncertainty, a lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic. Collins emphasized the importance of having strategic plans in place, but noted that tangible impacts on business have not yet prompted significant pullbacks in advertising. Disney’s Ferro discussed how her team has engaged with advertising partners to explore potential scenarios where tariffs could influence various product categories. She shared an anecdote about a mobile phone company that temporarily withdrew a substantial advertising order due to tariff concerns, only to reinstate it after exemptions were announced for certain devices. According to data firm eMarketer, traditional TV advertising spending during Upfronts is expected to decline, potentially influenced by tariffs. However, spending on streaming platforms is anticipated to grow, offering some stability in the overall advertising landscape. This situation gives advertisers leverage in negotiations, except for sports content, which remains highly sought after. Ad data firm EDO reported a decrease in estimated ad spending in sectors like automotive and retail since the announcement of tariffs. However, consumer concerns about rising prices have increased the effectiveness of advertisements. For example, home appliance brands reduced their spending, yet consumer responsiveness to ads increased significantly. Media executives are focusing on providing data-driven insights to advertisers, who are increasingly interested in targeted, outcome-based buys rather than broad audience

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